UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
52%
Hill
48%
Ducote
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
This is a genuine toss-up — Hill at 52% vs Ducote at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ducote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill
Ducote
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'2"
64"+
Reach
63"
41
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hill
Ducote
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
33.4
36.7
Performance Avg
31.0
31
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
50
Hill
Ducote
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
57%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
22
30
Body
10
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
38Distance28
27Clinch6
0Ground0
Hill
Ducote
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hill
Ducote
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Hill
Ducote
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hill
Ducote
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
15%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hill
Ducote
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
HillDucote
Strike Zones
Hill
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedDucote
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hill targets the head (46% of attacks) — Ducote absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Ducote targets the head (65% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hill
RND
Ducote
0/0R00/0
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ducote · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
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Fatima KlineRating 7.1Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Ducote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

