UFC 58: USA vs Canada
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2006
Lightweight
VS
47%
Hominick
53%
Edwards
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Hominick at 47% vs Edwards at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edwards has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hominick
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+73"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hominick
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
19.3
44.0
Performance Avg
47.6
45
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
85
Hominick
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
4
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Hominick
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hominick
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
21/64 fights
Hominick
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
85
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hominick
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hominick
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
HominickEdwards
Strike Zones
Hominick
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hominick targets the body (50% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hominick
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
Hominick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Hominick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pablo GarzaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 5.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
George RoopRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02