UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
22 Aug 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Villanueva
55%
Wright
Win Probability
IV
Ike Villanueva
"Hurricane"
18 – 14
6'1"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 21
JW
Jordan Wright
"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
12 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wright

This is a genuine toss-up — Villanueva at 45% vs Wright at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Villanueva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Wright has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Villanueva's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wright has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Villanueva
Wright
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+77"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villanueva
Wright
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
25.0
39.7
Performance Avg
38.4
55
Quality of Victory
45
13
Momentum Score
13
Villanueva
Wright
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
60%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
2
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
7Clinch12
0Ground2
Villanueva
Wright
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Villanueva
Wright
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
20
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Villanueva
Wright
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
13
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Villanueva
Wright
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Villanueva
Wright
Striking10.0 / 5.6Volume0.3 / 0.6Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
Villanueva
Strike Zones
Wright
Villanueva
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Wright
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Villanueva targets the head (71% of attacks) — Wright absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Wright targets the head (67% of attacks) — Villanueva absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Villanueva
RND
Wright
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Villanueva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0102.8L4.0L5.2W3.1L1.5L2.5L2020-052020-082021-012021-062021-102022-04
WinLossTrend

Wright · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0W3.9L5.0W2.8L1.5L3.2L5.5L2020-082021-052022-042023-02
WinLossTrend

Villanueva · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Marcin PrachnioRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R2
Vinicius MoreiraRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · R1
Jordan WrightRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

Wright · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Zac PaugaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Jamie PickettRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

News & Media

Ike Villanueva · Jordan Wright
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