METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Middleweight
VS
52%
Allen
48%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Brendan
Brendan Allen
"All In"
26 – 7
6'2"75" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Anthony
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15 – 3
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Anthony HernandezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brendan Allen · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 52% vs Hernandez at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Allen's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AllenHernandez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Allen
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.3
55.8
56.6
Performance Avg
53.9
42
Quality of Victory
44
88
Momentum Score
65
Allen
Hernandez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
7.5
4.8
Style: Volume
3.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
14
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance11
2Clinch0
0Ground3
Allen
Hernandez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
4.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
7
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Allen
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
65
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
Allen
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Hernandez
Striking2.9 / 3.6Volume4.8 / 3.2Grappling4.7 / 5.0Wrestling3.3 / 3.5Submission4.7 / 5.6Pressure6.6 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Allen
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Allen
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming
Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Edmen Shahbazyan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de Ridder
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin Vettori
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Hernandez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Gregory Rodrigues
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Sean Strickland
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman Dolidze
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan Allen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Brendan Allen · Anthony Hernandez
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