UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
95%
Blanchfield
5%
Alpar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Erin
Erin Blanchfield
"Cold Blooded"
14 – 2
5'4"66" reachOrthodox27 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
SA
Sarah Alpar
"Too Sweet"
9 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw63" reach5'4"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blanchfield

Blanchfield is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 62 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Blanchfield has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Blanchfield has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Blanchfield
Alpar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
63"
27+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Blanchfield
Alpar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
3.3
58.9
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
89
Momentum Score
0
Blanchfield
Alpar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
8
5
Body
5
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance18
3Clinch0
19Ground0
Blanchfield
Alpar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blanchfield
Alpar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Blanchfield
Alpar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Blanchfield
Alpar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blanchfield
Alpar
Striking1.8 / 0.0Volume5.8 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Blanchfield
Strike Zones
Alpar
Blanchfield
Attacking
29HEAD5BODY4LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY5LEGS18 absorbed
Alpar
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY5LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD5BODY4LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blanchfield targets the head (76% of attacks) — Alpar absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Alpar targets the head (44% of attacks) — Blanchfield absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blanchfield
RND
Alpar
0/0R00/0

Blanchfield · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.5W5.3W5.9W5.7W5.9W4.7W7.1L5.9W6.0W2021-092022-112024-032025-11
WinLossTrend

Alpar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.0L7.0L2020-092021-09
WinLossTrend

Blanchfield · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Tracy CortezRating 6
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02

Alpar · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

News & Media

Erin Blanchfield · Sarah Alpar
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