METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Lightweight
VS
46%
Santos
54%
Gordon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jared GordonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Leonardo Santos · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gordon
→
Actual result
Gordon wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 46% vs Gordon at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosGordon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
68"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
42.1
57.5
Performance Avg
42.8
49
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
63
Santos
Gordon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.8
Style: Volume
6.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
35
2
Body
11
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance40
1Clinch6
0Ground4
Santos
Gordon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Santos
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Santos
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Gordon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
SantosGordon
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedGordon
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (77% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (70% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · KO · R3
Grant DawsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman BogatovDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Stevie RayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11