METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
London, United Kingdom
27 Feb 2016
Welterweight
VS
59%
Breese
41%
Nakamura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tom BreesewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Keita Nakamura · UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Breese
→
Actual result
Breese wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Breese at 59% vs Nakamura at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Breese's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BreeseNakamura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Breese
Nakamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
34+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Breese
Nakamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.7
13.7
56.8
Performance Avg
36.2
53
Quality of Victory
36
46
Momentum Score
26
Breese
Nakamura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
4.6
2.9
Style: Volume
4.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Breese
Nakamura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Breese
Nakamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Breese
Nakamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
26
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Breese
Nakamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Breese
Nakamura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
BreeseNakamura
Strike Zones
Breese
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedNakamura
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Breese targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Breese
RND
Nakamura
0/0R00/0
Breese · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Omari AkhmedovSubmission
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