UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
London, United Kingdom
27 Feb 2016
Welterweight
VS
59%
Breese
41%
Nakamura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Breese
This is a genuine toss-up — Breese at 59% vs Nakamura at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Breese has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Breese's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Breese
Nakamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
34+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Breese
Nakamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.7
13.7
56.8
Performance Avg
36.2
53
Quality of Victory
36
46
Momentum Score
26
Breese
Nakamura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
37%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Breese
Nakamura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Breese
Nakamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Breese
Nakamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
26
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Breese
Nakamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Breese
Nakamura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
BreeseNakamura
Strike Zones
Breese
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedNakamura
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Breese targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Breese
RND
Nakamura
0/0R00/0
Breese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Nakamura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Breese · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Omari AkhmedovRating 2.8Submission
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Nakamura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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