The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Welterweight
VS
40%
Anjos
60%
Usman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
Kamaru
Kamaru Usman
"The Nigerian Nightmare"
21 – 4
Well-Rounded39 yrsSwitch76" reach6'0"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Usman

Usman holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Anjos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Usman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Anjos
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
57.4
47.7
Performance Avg
61.2
41
Quality of Victory
46
49
Momentum Score
55
Anjos
Usman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
26
3
Body
7
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
4Clinch9
1Ground18
Anjos
Usman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anjos
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Anjos
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Anjos
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
31%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Usman
Striking3.1 / 4.2Volume5.7 / 7.2Grappling3.3 / 2.1Wrestling2.3 / 1.5Submission2.4 / 0.6Pressure4.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
Anjos
Strike Zones
Usman
Anjos
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD7BODY1LEGS34 absorbed
Usman
Attacking
26HEAD7BODY1LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (43% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the head (76% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Usman
0/0R00/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Usman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.6W4.5W4.7W5.6W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.8W4.5W5.5W5.1W5.8W5.1L6.6L7.4L5.7W2015-072017-092019-122022-082025-06
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Usman · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Kamaru Usman
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