Rafael Dos Anjos vs Kamaru Usman — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale

Las Vegas, USA

30 Nov 2018

Welterweight

43%

Anjos

57%

Usman

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Rafael Dos Anjos

32 – 17

5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 43

Kamaru Usman

"The Nigerian Nightmare"

21 – 4

Well-Rounded39 yrsSwitch76" reach6'0"

CFR 56

★ Official Result

Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Rafael Dos Anjos · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Usman

→

Actual result

Usman wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 43% vs Usman at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AnjosUsman

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Anjos

Usman

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+6'0"

70"

Reach

+76"

Age

+39

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

Anjos

Usman

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

43.1

56.3

47.7

Performance Avg

59.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Anjos

Usman

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

4.1

/ 10

4.8

Style: Pressure

4.6

5.7

Style: Volume

7.1

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance7

4Clinch9

1Ground18

Anjos

Usman

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

2.1

/ 10

2.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.5

2.4

Submission Style (/10)

0.6

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Anjos

Usman

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R5.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

37/49 fights

Chin rating based on

20/25 fights

Anjos

Usman

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

L · KO · R5

Anjos

Usman

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

43%

31%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos

Usman

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.1

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.1

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.5

2.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.6

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.6

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.1

Anjos

Strike Zones

Usman

Anjos

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

34 absorbed

Usman

Attacking

34 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Anjos targets the head (43% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 43% of strikes there

🎯Usman targets the head (76% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos

RND

Usman

0/0R00/0

Anjos · Last 5

Upcoming

Alexander Hernandez

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Mateusz Gamrot

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

L · Dec · R5

Vicente Luque

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

W · Sub · R2

Bryan Barberena

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

Usman · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Dricus Du Plessis

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

W · Dec · R5

Joaquin Buckley

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Khamzat Chimaev

Decision

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

L · Dec · R5

Leon Edwards

Decision

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

L · KO · R5

Leon Edwards

KO/TKO

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Kamaru Usman

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