METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 99: The Comeback
Cologne, Germany
13 Jun 2009
Lightweight
VS
55%
Etim
45%
Buchholz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:38
★ Official Result
Terry EtimwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:38
def. Justin Buchholz · UFC 99: The Comeback
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Etim
→
Actual result
Etim wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Etim at 55% vs Buchholz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Etim's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EtimBuchholz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Etim
Buchholz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Etim
Buchholz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
15.7
50.5
Performance Avg
37.7
48
Quality of Victory
50
58
Momentum Score
33
Etim
Buchholz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
7.6
2.4
Style: Volume
0.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
2
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance1
8Clinch2
0Ground0
Etim
Buchholz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Etim
Buchholz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
72
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Etim
Buchholz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Etim
Buchholz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Etim
Buchholz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
EtimBuchholz
Strike Zones
Etim
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBuchholz
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Etim targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buchholz absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Buchholz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Etim
RND
Buchholz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Etim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteDecision
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L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoSubmission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertySubmission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Buchholz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mac DanzigDecision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · R1
Jeremy StephensUFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimSubmission
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
W · Sub · R2
Corey HillSubmission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01