UFC 99: The Comeback
Cologne, Germany
13 Jun 2009
Lightweight
VS
55%
Etim
45%
Buchholz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:38
TE
Terry Etim
16 – 5
6'1"73" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JB
Justin Buchholz
15 – 10
Submission Hunter3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Etim

This is a genuine toss-up — Etim at 55% vs Buchholz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Buchholz throws more volume but Etim connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Etim's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Etim
Buchholz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Etim
Buchholz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
15.7
50.5
Performance Avg
37.7
48
Quality of Victory
50
58
Momentum Score
33
Etim
Buchholz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
28%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
2
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance1
8Clinch2
0Ground0
Etim
Buchholz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Etim
Buchholz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
72
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Etim
Buchholz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Etim
Buchholz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Etim
Buchholz
Striking2.8 / 0.4Volume2.4 / 0.4Grappling5.7 / 8.0Wrestling4.0 / 5.6Submission6.7 / 10.0Pressure7.5 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Etim
Strike Zones
Buchholz
Etim
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY6LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Buchholz
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY6LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Etim targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buchholz absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Buchholz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Etim
RND
Buchholz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Etim · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.2W2.9L5.0W4.5L5.5L2007-042008-102009-112012-012013-02
WinLossTrend

Buchholz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.5L5.2W2.8L4.5L5.5L2008-012008-072009-062009-092010-02
WinLossTrend

Etim · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoRating 5
Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertyRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Buchholz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mac DanzigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
W · Sub · R2
Corey HillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01

News & Media

Terry Etim · Justin Buchholz
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