UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Basharat
55%
Henry
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Henry
This is a genuine toss-up — Basharat at 45% vs Henry at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Henry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Basharat
Henry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Basharat
Henry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
52.9
41.7
Performance Avg
45.4
25
Quality of Victory
31
60
Momentum Score
81
Basharat
Henry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Basharat
Henry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Basharat
Henry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Basharat
Henry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
81
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Basharat
Henry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Basharat
Henry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
BasharatHenry
Strike Zones
Basharat
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHenry
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Basharat targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Basharat
RND
Henry
0/0R00/0
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Henry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Basharat · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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