UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Reyes
48%
Weidman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:43
Dominick
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
16 – 5
6'4"77" reachSouthpaw36 yrsStriker
CFR 56
Chris
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
16 – 8
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Reyes

This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 52% vs Weidman at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Reyes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Reyes
Weidman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+78"
36+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Weidman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
51.1
56.3
Performance Avg
57.0
49
Quality of Victory
55
71
Momentum Score
51
Reyes
Weidman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
48%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
2Clinch1
4Ground1
Reyes
Weidman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reyes
Weidman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
20/24 fights
Reyes
Weidman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
51
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Reyes
Weidman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
58%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reyes
Weidman
Striking7.3 / 4.5Volume3.7 / 4.5Grappling1.5 / 3.0Wrestling1.1 / 2.1Submission1.0 / 2.5Pressure6.9 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Reyes
Strike Zones
Weidman
Reyes
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Weidman
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the head (88% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Weidman targets the body (67% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reyes
RND
Weidman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W6.0W5.1W5.3W5.8W7.3L2.7L3.8L1.9L6.4W6.4W6.2W3.4L5.3W2017-062019-032021-052025-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Weidman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.0W3.4L4.0L2.8L5.6W4.0L2.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.8W3.5L2011-032013-072016-112020-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Reyes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

Weidman · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Dominick Reyes · Chris Weidman
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