UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
San Diego, USA
13 Dec 2006
Welterweight
VS
86%
Koscheck
14%
Joslin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Koscheck
Koscheck is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Koscheck has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Koscheck has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Koscheck
Joslin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
48+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Koscheck
Joslin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
2.7
50.5
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Koscheck
Joslin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
22%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Koscheck
Joslin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koscheck
Joslin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Koscheck
Joslin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Koscheck
Joslin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koscheck
Joslin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KoscheckJoslin
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedJoslin
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (100% of attacks) — Joslin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Joslin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koscheck
RND
Joslin
0/0R00/0
Koscheck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
Joslin · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Josh KoscheckRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12