UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Heavyweight
VS
90%
Ciesnolevicz
10%
Grove
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ciesnolevicz
Ciesnolevicz is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ciesnolevicz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'6"
46+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.6
2.5
52.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
—
50%
Strike Accuracy
0%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/20 fights
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ciesnolevicz
Grove
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ciesnolevicz
RND
Grove
0/0R00/0
Ciesnolevicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Ciesnolevicz · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Tomasz DrwalRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
W · Sub · R1
Neil GroveRating 5Submission
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
Grove · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Mike CiesnoleviczRating 1.5Submission
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02