UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Lopez
50%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:09
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lopez
This is a genuine toss-up — Lopez at 50% vs Bermudez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Striking split: Lopez throws more volume but Bermudez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Lopez
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
32
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Lopez
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
22.4
35.0
Performance Avg
55.5
25
Quality of Victory
53
61
Momentum Score
72
Lopez
Bermudez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
61%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
5Clinch1
0Ground4
Lopez
Bermudez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lopez
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Lopez
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
72
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Lopez
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lopez
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
LopezBermudez
Strike Zones
Lopez
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lopez targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the body (57% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lopez
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
Lopez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lopez · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Sub · R1
Manny BermudezRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Albert MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
Bermudez · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Charles RosaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R1
Benito LopezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02