METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
52%
Matthews
48%
Jingliang
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake MatthewswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Li Jingliang · UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matthews
→
Actual result
Matthews wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Matthews at 52% vs Jingliang at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jingliang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jingliang has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsJingliang
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Jingliang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
71"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matthews
Jingliang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
50.8
48.4
Performance Avg
53.1
36
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
69
Matthews
Jingliang
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.3
Style: Volume
3.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
11
0
Body
3
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance14
1Clinch2
7Ground3
Matthews
Jingliang
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Jingliang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Matthews
Jingliang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Matthews
Jingliang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
8
6
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Jingliang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
MatthewsJingliang
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedJingliang
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (95% of attacks) — Jingliang absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Jingliang targets the head (58% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Jingliang
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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