UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Gagnon
54%
Kimura
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:05
MG
Mitch Gagnon
12 – 5
5'5"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
DK
Dustin Kimura
"The Diamond"
11 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kimura

This is a genuine toss-up — Gagnon at 46% vs Kimura at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gagnon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gagnon
Kimura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+71"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gagnon
Kimura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
20.3
48.0
Performance Avg
45.7
47
Quality of Victory
50
38
Momentum Score
72
Gagnon
Kimura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
24%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
3
5
Body
6
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
20Distance14
5Clinch1
2Ground0
Gagnon
Kimura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gagnon
Kimura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Gagnon
Kimura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Gagnon
Kimura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gagnon
Kimura
Striking1.0 / 0.8Volume3.0 / 0.8Grappling6.6 / 8.0Wrestling4.6 / 5.6Submission7.5 / 10.0Pressure6.8 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Gagnon
Strike Zones
Kimura
Gagnon
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY4LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY6LEGS15 absorbed
Kimura
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY6LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY4LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gagnon targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kimura absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Kimura targets the body (40% of attacks) — Gagnon absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gagnon
RND
Kimura
0/0R00/0

Gagnon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.0L5.5L5.5L2012-072013-092014-102016-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Kimura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L2013-022013-092014-012014-042014-12
WinLossTrend

Gagnon · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cole SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Matthew LopezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Renan BaraoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R1
Roman SalazarRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim GormanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04

Kimura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Sub · R1
Jon Delos ReyesRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Sub · R3
Chico CamusRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02

News & Media

Mitch Gagnon · Dustin Kimura
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