UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Belem, Brazil
3 Feb 2018
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Johnson
50%
Golm
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TJ
Timothy Johnson
12 – 4
6'3"77" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MG
Marcelo Golm
6 – 3
Submission Hunter3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 50% vs Golm at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Golm has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Golm has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Johnson
Golm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Golm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
17.6
43.1
Performance Avg
42.4
34
Quality of Victory
54
83
Momentum Score
43
Johnson
Golm
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
58%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
5
Body
2
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance9
17Clinch5
0Ground0
Johnson
Golm
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Golm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Johnson
Golm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Johnson
Golm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Golm
Striking3.6 / 0.5Volume7.1 / 0.5Grappling1.8 / 8.0Wrestling1.3 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure3.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Johnson
Strike Zones
Golm
Johnson
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY6LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Golm
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY6LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Golm absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Golm targets the head (79% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Golm
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.5L4.9W6.8L4.5W1.5L4.5W2015-042016-042017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Golm · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.5L5.5L2.7L2017-102018-022018-102019-04
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcelo GolmRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Junior AlbiniRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Daniel OmielanczukRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

Golm · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Christian ColomboRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

News & Media

Timothy Johnson · Marcelo Golm
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