METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Welterweight
VS
73%
Gastelum
27%
Musoke
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kelvin GastelumwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nicholas Musoke · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gastelum
→
Actual result
Gastelum wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gastelum is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Gastelum's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GastelumMusoke
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gastelum
Musoke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+75"
34+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gastelum
Musoke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
15.7
47.4
Performance Avg
40.8
42
Quality of Victory
35
28
Momentum Score
53
Gastelum
Musoke
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
3.8
6.3
Style: Volume
6.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
7
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance9
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Gastelum
Musoke
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gastelum
Musoke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/32 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Gastelum
Musoke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gastelum
Musoke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gastelum
Musoke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
GastelumMusoke
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMusoke
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gastelum targets the head (61% of attacks) — Musoke absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Musoke targets the head (60% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gastelum
RND
Musoke
0/0R00/0
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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Musoke · Last 5
L · KO · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
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