UFC 41: Onslaught
Atlantic City, USA
28 Feb 2003
Lightweight
VS
56%
Edwards
44%
Clementi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 56% vs Clementi at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clementi has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edwards
Clementi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
72"
49+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Edwards
Clementi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
14.9
47.6
Performance Avg
44.4
46
Quality of Victory
41
85
Momentum Score
26
Edwards
Clementi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance4
1Clinch1
2Ground0
Edwards
Clementi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Clementi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
10/68 fights
Edwards
Clementi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Edwards
Clementi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Clementi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
EdwardsClementi
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedClementi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (50% of attacks) — Clementi absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Clementi targets the head (60% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Clementi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Clementi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
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Clementi · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gleison TibauRating 1.5Submission
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