UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
6%
Nunes
94%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hughes
Hughes is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nunes
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
66"+
Reach
64"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.2
49.8
0.0
Performance Avg
40.0
0
Quality of Victory
33
0
Momentum Score
76
Nunes
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
28
3
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance15
2Clinch2
1Ground13
Nunes
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Nunes
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
76
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nunes
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
NunesHughes
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedHughes
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hughes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Nunes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loma LookboonmeeRating 6.4Decision
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