METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
6%
Nunes
94%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sam HugheswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Istela Nunes · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hughes
→
Actual result
Hughes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hughes is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NunesHughes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nunes
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
66"+
Reach
64"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.2
50.3
0.0
Performance Avg
40.7
0
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
76
Nunes
Hughes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
0.0
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
28
3
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance15
2Clinch2
1Ground13
Nunes
Hughes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Nunes
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
76
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nunes
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
NunesHughes
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedHughes
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
Nunes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loma LookboonmeeDecision
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L · KO · R2
Yazmin JaureguiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sam HughesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Sub · R3
Ariane CarnelossiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
Hughes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Shauna BannonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Stephanie LucianoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Viktoriia DudakovaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Yazmin JaureguiDecision
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