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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Assuncao
64%
Garbrandt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:59
RA
Raphael Assuncao
2810
5'5"66" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
Cody
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
157
Striker35 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'8"
CFR 57
★ Official Result
Cody GarbrandtwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:59
def. Raphael Assuncao · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garbrandt
Actual result
Garbrandt wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Garbrandt holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Assuncao has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garbrandt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Garbrandt throws more volume but Assuncao connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Garbrandt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AssuncaoGarbrandt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
66"+
Reach
65"
44
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
56.6
44.2
Performance Avg
51.6
32
Quality of Victory
47
61
Momentum Score
97
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
2
Body
2
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
97
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Assuncao
Garbrandt
Striking2.9 / 7.2Volume7.3 / 4.4Grappling2.5 / 1.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.7Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Assuncao
Strike Zones
Garbrandt
Assuncao
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Garbrandt
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (55% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Assuncao
RND
Garbrandt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Assuncao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W4.6W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L7.0L3.8L3.4L5.4W4.8L2011-032013-102017-062020-062023-03
WinLossTrend

Garbrandt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.2L1.6L2.0L5.2W6.7L2.4L4.5W5.3W3.8L6.3L5.3W2015-012016-122021-052025-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Assuncao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

Garbrandt · Last 5

Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Raphael Assuncao · Cody Garbrandt
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