UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Assuncao
64%
Garbrandt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garbrandt
Garbrandt holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Assuncao has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garbrandt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Garbrandt throws more volume but Assuncao connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
66"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
56.6
44.2
Performance Avg
51.6
32
Quality of Victory
47
61
Momentum Score
97
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
2
Body
2
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
97
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Assuncao
Garbrandt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
AssuncaoGarbrandt
Strike Zones
Assuncao
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGarbrandt
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (55% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Assuncao
RND
Garbrandt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Assuncao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Garbrandt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Assuncao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
Garbrandt · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12