METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Ankalaev
52%
Pereira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:20
★ Official Result
Alex PereirawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:20
def. Magomed Ankalaev · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ankalaev at 48% vs Pereira at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pereira has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnkalaevPereira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ankalaev
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
73.3
60.6
Performance Avg
73.8
43
Quality of Victory
72
100
Momentum Score
78
Ankalaev
Pereira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
9.5
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
7.9
5.4
Style: Volume
3.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
21
3
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground23
Ankalaev
Pereira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/16 fights
Ankalaev
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Ankalaev
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Pereira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.5
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
AnkalaevPereira
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedPereira
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the body (75% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Pereira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06