UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Featherweight
VS
51%
Amil
49%
Gomis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Amil
This is a genuine toss-up — Amil at 51% vs Gomis at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Amil has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Amil has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Amil
Gomis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Amil
Gomis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
55.3
52.0
Performance Avg
46.6
47
Quality of Victory
30
69
Momentum Score
88
Amil
Gomis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.2
58%
Strike Accuracy
49%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
19
19
Body
11
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
45Distance33
5Clinch1
2Ground0
Amil
Gomis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Amil
Gomis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Amil
Gomis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Amil
Gomis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Amil
Gomis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
AmilGomis
Strike Zones
Amil
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedGomis
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Amil targets the head (48% of attacks) — Gomis absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Gomis targets the head (56% of attacks) — Amil absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Amil
RND
Gomis
0/0R00/0
Amil · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Gomis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Amil · Last 5
Upcoming
Christian RodriguezUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Jamall EmmersRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Jose DelgadoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
JeongYeong LeeRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
Gomis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Robert RuchalaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R3
Yanis GhemmouriRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09

