UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Featherweight
VS
50%
Santos
50%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Daniel
Daniel Santos
"Willycat"
14 – 3
5'7"67" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
JeongYeong
JeongYeong Lee
"Korean Tiger"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 50% vs Lee at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Lee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Santos
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+73"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.6
56.2
50.7
Performance Avg
57.5
40
Quality of Victory
63
71
Momentum Score
61
Santos
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance11
1Clinch2
1Ground0
Santos
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Santos
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
61
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Lee
Striking6.3 / 1.0Volume5.3 / 9.0Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Santos
Strike Zones
Lee
Santos
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (78% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (85% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.2L6.0W4.5W5.6W6.7W4.5L2022-042022-102023-062025-052025-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W4.5W2.6L6.5L2023-022024-022024-072025-05
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
JooSang YooRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
JeongYeong LeeRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Johnny MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
John CastanedaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

Lee · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Daniel SantosRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Hyder AmilRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Blake BilderRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
YizhaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

News & Media

Daniel Santos · JeongYeong Lee
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