UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Welterweight
VS
52%
Silva
48%
High
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 52% vs High at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
High has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
High
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
73"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
High
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
16.2
51.3
Performance Avg
39.7
54
Quality of Victory
40
46
Momentum Score
59
Silva
High
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
High
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
5.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
High
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Silva
High
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Silva
High
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
High
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
High
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
High · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
High · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Anthony LapsleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
James HeadRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03