UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
27%
Errens
73%
Nguyen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jarno
Jarno Errens
14 – 6
5'11"73" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 24
Steven
Steven Nguyen
"The Ninja"
10 – 2
Knockout Artist33 yrsSwitch73" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nguyen

Nguyen is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.

Striking split: Nguyen throws more volume but Errens connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Errens
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
31+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Errens
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.7
63.7
25.0
Performance Avg
53.0
25
Quality of Victory
55
17
Momentum Score
71
Errens
Nguyen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
17
5
Body
1
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
33Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Errens
Nguyen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Errens
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Errens
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
71
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Errens
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Errens
Nguyen
Striking0.5 / 10.0Volume8.5 / 1.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Errens
Strike Zones
Nguyen
Errens
Attacking
23HEAD5BODY5LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Nguyen
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD5BODY5LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Errens targets the head (70% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (85% of attacks) — Errens absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Errens
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Errens · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.5L5.7L5.9W2.5L2022-092023-082024-032024-08
WinLossTrend

Nguyen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.2W2024-032025-07
WinLossTrend

Errens · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Steven NguyenRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

Nguyen · Last 2

W · KO · R2
Mohammad YahyaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Jarno Errens · Steven Nguyen
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