METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
93%
Cornolle
7%
Cowan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:52
Nora
Nora Cornolle
94
5'7"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Hailey
Hailey Cowan
"All Hail"
75
Well-Rounded4-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'8"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Nora CornollewinsSubmissionR2 · 1:52
def. Hailey Cowan · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cornolle
Actual result
Cornolle wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Cornolle is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cornolle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Risk flags

Cowan has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CornolleCowan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cornolle
Cowan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cornolle
Cowan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
3.4
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
Cornolle
Cowan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.1
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Cornolle
Cowan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cornolle
Cowan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
42
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Cornolle
Cowan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cornolle
Cowan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cornolle
Cowan
Striking3.6 / 0.0Volume5.1 / 0.0Grappling3.2 / 0.0Wrestling2.2 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Cornolle
Strike Zones
Cowan
Cornolle
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Cowan
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cornolle targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cowan absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Cowan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cornolle absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cornolle
RND
Cowan
0/0R00/0

Cornolle · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Klaudia Sygula
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · Sub · R2
Joselyne Edwards
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Karol Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Hailey Cowan
Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Cowan · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Nina Milosevic
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Alice Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Nora Cornolle
Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04

News & Media

Nora Cornolle · Hailey Cowan
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