UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
90%
Cornolle
10%
Cowan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cornolle
Cornolle is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cornolle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Striking split: Cowan throws more volume but Cornolle connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cowan has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cornolle
Cowan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cornolle
Cowan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.5
5.1
45.9
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
38
Momentum Score
0
Cornolle
Cowan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Cornolle
Cowan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cornolle
Cowan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Cornolle
Cowan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cornolle
Cowan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cornolle
Cowan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CornolleCowan
Strike Zones
Cornolle
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCowan
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cornolle targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cowan absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Cowan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cornolle absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cornolle
RND
Cowan
0/0R00/0
Cornolle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Cowan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Cornolle · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Joselyne EdwardsRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Hailey CowanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Melissa MullinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Cowan · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Alice PereiraRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Nora CornolleRating 3.4Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2Decision
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