UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Preux
53%
Menifield
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Menifield
This is a genuine toss-up — Preux at 47% vs Menifield at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Menifield has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Menifield has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Preux
Menifield
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
76"
43
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Preux
Menifield
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
52.6
50.2
Performance Avg
51.6
48
Quality of Victory
44
72
Momentum Score
75
Preux
Menifield
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
11
Body
2
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Preux
Menifield
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Preux
Menifield
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Preux
Menifield
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
75
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Preux
Menifield
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Preux
Menifield
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
PreuxMenifield
Strike Zones
Preux
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMenifield
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the body (55% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Menifield targets the head (38% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Preux
RND
Menifield
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Menifield · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
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Menifield · Last 5
Upcoming
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