UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
15 Jul 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
78%
Bukauskas
22%
Michailidis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bukauskas
Bukauskas is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bukauskas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Bukauskas throws more volume but Michailidis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Michailidis has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
32+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
14.4
49.0
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
28
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
4
Body
7
3
Leg
8
RangeRange
11Distance23
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bukauskas
Michailidis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
BukauskasMichailidis
Strike Zones
Bukauskas
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMichailidis
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (61% of attacks) — Michailidis absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Michailidis targets the head (35% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 35% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bukauskas
RND
Michailidis
0/0R00/0
Bukauskas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Michailidis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Bukauskas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R3
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W · KO · R1
Paul CraigRating 5.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 4.8Decision
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W · KO · R1
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Michailidis · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
KB BhullarRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07