UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Welterweight
VS
50%
Silva
50%
Chagas
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:57
ES
Erick Silva
19 – 9
6'0"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 18
LC
Luan Chagas
"Tarzan"
15 – 3
Submission Hunter32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 50% vs Chagas at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Chagas throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chagas has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Chagas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Chagas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
17.3
51.3
Performance Avg
43.0
54
Quality of Victory
50
46
Momentum Score
43
Silva
Chagas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
4
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Chagas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Chagas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Silva
Chagas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Silva
Chagas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Chagas
Striking3.8 / 0.7Volume0.9 / 0.7Grappling5.7 / 8.0Wrestling4.0 / 5.6Submission7.1 / 10.0Pressure8.4 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Silva
Strike Zones
Chagas
Silva
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Chagas
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (90% of attacks) — Chagas absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Chagas targets the head (57% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Chagas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W3.1L5.0W5.0W6.1L2.8L5.5W2.8L5.5L2011-082013-062014-122016-092017-12
WinLossTrend

Chagas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.0L5.2W2.8L2016-092017-062018-04
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

Chagas · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Jim WallheadRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
Upcoming
Sergio Moraes
Decision
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

News & Media

Erick Silva · Luan Chagas
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