UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Mar 2015
Lightweight
VS
67%
Santos
33%
Martin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Martin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martin has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Martin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
46
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Martin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
17.5
57.5
Performance Avg
45.3
49
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
65
Santos
Martin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Santos
Martin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Martin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Santos
Martin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Santos
Martin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Martin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
SantosMartin
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMartin
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (57% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Martin targets the head (60% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Martin
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · KO · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman BogatovRating 4.5Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Stevie RayRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12