UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Martinez
64%
Saaiman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Saaiman
Saaiman holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Martinez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saaiman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Saaiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Saaiman has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Martinez
Saaiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
67"
30
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Martinez
Saaiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
54.3
35.0
Performance Avg
47.0
25
Quality of Victory
45
61
Momentum Score
75
Martinez
Saaiman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
30
3
Body
9
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
13Distance25
1Clinch1
0Ground19
Martinez
Saaiman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martinez
Saaiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Martinez
Saaiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
75
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Martinez
Saaiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martinez
Saaiman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
MartinezSaaiman
Strike Zones
Martinez
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedSaaiman
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (79% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Saaiman targets the head (67% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martinez
RND
Saaiman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Saaiman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Martinez · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Cameron SaaimanRating 6.5Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Ronnie LawrenceRating 5.8Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
Saaiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Payton TalbottRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03