METRICS GUIDE
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Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Reinier de Ridder moves up to 205lbs to meet a Georgian who has been there before, with both men needing to stop the bleeding after two straight defeats.
This one is contested at light heavyweight, and that single fact reorganises everything else about it. Reinier de Ridder is moving up a division after four years of making 185lbs, and Roman Dolidze is meeting him at a weight where the Georgian already has a result on the board: a decision over Anthony Smith at UFC 303 in June 2024, the only bout in his recorded last five that was not fought at mid…
Dolidze is 15-5 at 38 years old with fourteen recorded UFC fights, and arrives on back-to-back defeats: a decision to Christian Leroy Duncan in March 2026 and a fourth-round submission loss to Anthony Hernandez in August 2025. Before that he beat Marvin Vettori over five rounds and knocked out Kevin Holland in the first at UFC 307. The metrics flag his 80.0 chin rating and 6.84 striking score as his strongest assets, and his 0.0 submission score as the obvious hole.
De Ridder is 21-4 at 35 and has six recorded UFC fights, a thin base for a 55.7 composite. He is also 0-2 in his last two, losing a decision to Caio Borralho in March 2026 and a fourth-round TKO to Brendan Allen in October 2025, but the three before that were a decision over Robert Whittaker, a second-round KO of Bo Nickal and a first-round submission of Kevin Holland. A southpaw at 193.0cm with a 198.1cm reach, he is the bigger man even moving up.
Does de Ridder's 4.6 grappling score travel up a division, or does it only work on men making 185lbs?
Dolidze has one recorded light heavyweight bout in his last five — the decision over Anthony Smith at UFC 303 — and it is the only 205lb data point either man has.
De Ridder's 55.7 composite rests on six UFC fights against Dolidze's fourteen; how much of that gap is real and how much is sample size?
Both were finished in the fourth round of the defeat before their most recent, with fade_index readings of 100.0 that the results do not obviously support.
Dolidze's 0.0 submission score against a man who submitted Kevin Holland inside a round — how long can he afford to spend on the mat?
De Ridder takes it down early and the fight never becomes a striking contest, in which case the 5.0-to-0.0 submission gap decides it.
At 38, Dolidze is the older man by two years and is carrying two defeats into a division where he has fought once on record.
The 7.6-point composite gap is small enough that de Ridder's thin six-fight sample could be understating him rather than flattering him.
This Fight — Statistics
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown