UFC 73: Stacked
Sacramento, USA
7 Jul 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Evans
57%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
TO
Tito Ortiz
"The People's Champ"
19 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide51 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'3"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 43% vs Ortiz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Ortiz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ortiz has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Evans
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
74"
46+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
20.4
53.1
Performance Avg
57.3
46
Quality of Victory
57
25
Momentum Score
85
Evans
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Evans
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
27/31 fights
Evans
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
85
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Evans
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Ortiz
Striking5.6 / 5.8Volume5.8 / 3.8Grappling1.4 / 1.9Wrestling1.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure4.9 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Evans
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Evans
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L4.2W5.0W3.4L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.5L5.5L5.5L5.0W2.8L1.5L5.5L1997-052001-022005-022010-102012-07
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5
Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Tito Ortiz
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