UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
53%
Xiaonan
47%
Jandiroba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Xiaonan
This is a genuine toss-up — Xiaonan at 53% vs Jandiroba at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Xiaonan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
49.0
45.0
Performance Avg
48.7
29
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
45
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Xiaonan
Jandiroba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
XiaonanJandiroba
Strike Zones
Xiaonan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJandiroba
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Jandiroba absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Jandiroba targets the head (100% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Xiaonan
RND
Jandiroba
0/0R00/0
Xiaonan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Jandiroba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
Jandiroba · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

