METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Sydney, Australia
7 Nov 2014
Flyweight
VS
25%
Vaculik
75%
Smolka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:18
★ Official Result
Louis SmolkawinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:18
def. Richie Vaculik · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smolka
→
Actual result
Smolka wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Smolka is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Smolka has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Vaculik's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smolka has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VaculikSmolka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vaculik
Smolka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
43
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vaculik
Smolka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
26.6
25.0
Performance Avg
46.5
25
Quality of Victory
46
22
Momentum Score
60
Vaculik
Smolka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
2.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Vaculik
Smolka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vaculik
Smolka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
12
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Vaculik
Smolka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Vaculik
Smolka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vaculik
Smolka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
VaculikSmolka
Strike Zones
Vaculik
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSmolka
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vaculik targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smolka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vaculik absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vaculik
RND
Smolka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Vaculik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Smolka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Vaculik · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Roldan Sangcha'anRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · KO · R1
Justin ScogginsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
Smolka · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Vince MoralesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Jose QuinonezRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R1
Casey KenneyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09