METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Sydney, Australia
7 Nov 2014
Flyweight
VS
25%
Vaculik
75%
Smolka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:18
RV
Richie Vaculik
"Vas"
104
5'6"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
LS
Louis Smolka
"Da Last Samurai"
179
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 27
★ Official Result
Louis SmolkawinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:18
def. Richie Vaculik · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smolka
Actual result
Smolka wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Smolka is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Risk flags

Vaculik's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Smolka has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VaculikSmolka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Vaculik
Smolka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
43
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vaculik
Smolka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
26.6
25.0
Performance Avg
46.5
25
Quality of Victory
46
22
Momentum Score
60
Vaculik
Smolka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
6.7
8.5
Style: Volume
2.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Vaculik
Smolka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vaculik
Smolka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
12
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Vaculik
Smolka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Vaculik
Smolka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vaculik
Smolka
Striking0.5 / 5.9Volume8.5 / 2.9Grappling2.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure0.8 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Vaculik
Strike Zones
Smolka
Vaculik
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Smolka
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vaculik targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smolka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vaculik absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vaculik
RND
Smolka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vaculik · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Danny Martinez
Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Louis Smolka
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Roldan Sangcha'an
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · KO · R1
Justin Scoggins
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12

Smolka · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Davey Grant
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Vince Morales
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Jose Quinonez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R1
Casey Kenney
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonald
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

News & Media

Richie Vaculik · Louis Smolka
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