UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Catch Weight
VS
50%
Weidman
50%
Anders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weidman
This is a genuine toss-up — Weidman at 50% vs Anders at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Weidman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anders has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Weidman
Anders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Weidman
Anders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
50.9
57.0
Performance Avg
45.4
55
Quality of Victory
41
51
Momentum Score
79
Weidman
Anders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
48
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground47
Weidman
Anders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Weidman
Anders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/24 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Weidman
Anders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
79
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Weidman
Anders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weidman
Anders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
WeidmanAnders
Strike Zones
Weidman
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedAnders
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Anders targets the head (94% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weidman
RND
Anders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Weidman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06