UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Featherweight
VS
69%
Swanson
31%
Lamas
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swanson
Swanson holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lamas has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Swanson
Lamas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Lamas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
20.7
48.8
Performance Avg
52.0
40
Quality of Victory
44
56
Momentum Score
98
Swanson
Lamas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground2
Swanson
Lamas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Lamas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Swanson
Lamas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
98
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Swanson
Lamas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
64%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Lamas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
SwansonLamas
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLamas
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lamas targets the head (33% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Lamas
0/0R00/0
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
