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UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops
Fayetteville, USA
10 Dec 2008
Welterweight
VS
56%
Swick
44%
Goulet
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
MS
Mike Swick
"Quick"
156
6'1"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
JG
Jonathan Goulet
"The Road Warrior"
2312
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Mike SwickwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:33
def. Jonathan Goulet · UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
Actual result
Swick wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Swick at 56% vs Goulet at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Swick throws more volume but Goulet connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Goulet has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SwickGoulet
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Swick
Goulet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
73"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Goulet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
17.6
55.0
Performance Avg
41.6
47
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
100
Swick
Goulet
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Swick
Goulet
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Goulet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Swick
Goulet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Swick
Goulet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swick
Goulet
Striking6.3 / 3.4Volume3.7 / 2.9Grappling2.3 / 2.6Wrestling1.6 / 1.8Submission2.0 / 2.5Pressure6.9 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Swick
Strike Zones
Goulet
Swick
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Goulet
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Goulet targets the head (100% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swick
RND
Goulet
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Swick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W3.1L5.5L2005-042006-092008-122012-082015-07
WinLossTrend

Goulet · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0104.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L2.8L2005-102006-082008-042010-05
WinLossTrend

Swick · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Goulet · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09

News & Media

Mike Swick · Jonathan Goulet
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