UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops
Fayetteville, USA
10 Dec 2008
Welterweight
VS
56%
Swick
44%
Goulet
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
JG
CFR 18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swick
This is a genuine toss-up — Swick at 56% vs Goulet at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Swick throws more volume but Goulet connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Goulet has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Swick
Goulet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
73"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Goulet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
17.6
55.0
Performance Avg
41.6
47
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
100
Swick
Goulet
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Swick
Goulet
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Goulet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Swick
Goulet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Swick
Goulet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Goulet
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
SwickGoulet
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGoulet
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Goulet targets the head (100% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Goulet
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Goulet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Goulet · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09