UFC 47: It's On!
Las Vegas, USA
2 Apr 2004
Heavyweight
VS
74%
Arlovski
26%
Correira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Arlovski throws more volume but Correira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Correira has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arlovski
Correira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Correira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
17.6
50.5
Performance Avg
45.5
47
Quality of Victory
43
94
Momentum Score
65
Arlovski
Correira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance1
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Correira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Correira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
4/36 fights
Arlovski
Correira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Arlovski
Correira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
50%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Correira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
ArlovskiCorreira
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCorreira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (93% of attacks) — Correira absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Correira targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Correira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Correira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Correira · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04
W · R1
David AbbottRating 4UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · KO · R2
Sean AlvarezRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04
L · KO · R2
Tim SylviaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09