METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Flyweight
VS
47%
Moreno
53%
Pantoja
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Brandon
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
23 – 10
5'7"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 61
★ Official Result
Alexandre PantojawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Brandon Moreno · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pantoja
→
Actual result
Pantoja wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 47% vs Pantoja at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MorenoPantoja
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moreno
Pantoja
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
67"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Pantoja
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
60.7
52.5
Performance Avg
60.2
47
Quality of Victory
49
54
Momentum Score
65
Moreno
Pantoja
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.9
Style: Volume
5.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
24
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
25Distance24
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Moreno
Pantoja
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
3
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moreno
Pantoja
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/33 fights
Chin rating based on
19/36 fights
Moreno
Pantoja
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
Moreno
Pantoja
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moreno
Pantoja
Striking3.0 / 3.0Volume4.9 / 5.0Grappling3.3 / 4.5Wrestling2.3 / 3.1Submission2.7 / 4.3Pressure5.0 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Moreno
Strike Zones
Pantoja
Moreno
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Pantoja
Attacking
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (93% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Pantoja targets the head (96% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moreno
RND
Pantoja
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Moreno · Last 5

Upcoming
Joseph Morales
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · Dec · R5
Lone'er Kavanagh
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro Taira
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve Erceg
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir Albazi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

Pantoja · Last 5

Upcoming
Joshua Van
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Joshua Van
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-France
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai Asakura
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve Erceg
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

News & Media

Brandon Moreno · Alexandre Pantoja
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