★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Flyweight
VS
47%
Moreno
53%
Pantoja
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Brandon
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
23 – 10
5'7"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pantoja

This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 47% vs Pantoja at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pantoja has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moreno
Pantoja
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
67"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Pantoja
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
60.7
52.5
Performance Avg
60.2
47
Quality of Victory
49
54
Momentum Score
65
Moreno
Pantoja
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
24
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
25Distance24
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Moreno
Pantoja
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moreno
Pantoja
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
18/36 fights
Moreno
Pantoja
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Moreno
Pantoja
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moreno
Pantoja
Striking3.0 / 3.0Volume4.9 / 5.0Grappling3.3 / 4.5Wrestling2.3 / 3.1Submission2.7 / 4.3Pressure5.0 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Moreno
Strike Zones
Pantoja
Moreno
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Pantoja
Attacking
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (93% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Pantoja targets the head (96% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moreno
RND
Pantoja
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Moreno · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W4.5W5.2W5.5L6.8L5.4W4.5W5.8W6.3W6.6L6.1W5.3W6.8L6.3L5.8W5.1W4.5L6.2L2016-102019-122022-072025-032026-02
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Moreno · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Brandon Moreno · Alexandre Pantoja
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