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UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Flyweight
VS
17%
Shelton
83%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ES
Eric Shelton
"Showtime"
126
5'6"68" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 12
Alex
Alex Perez
2610
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 60
★ Official Result
Alex PerezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Eric Shelton · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
Actual result
Perez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Perez is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Risk flags

Perez has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SheltonPerez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Shelton
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
65"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shelton
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.1
59.7
28.3
Performance Avg
51.2
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
100
Shelton
Perez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
8.7
Style: Volume
3.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
1
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance8
0Clinch1
2Ground1
Shelton
Perez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shelton
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
16/36 fights
Shelton
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Shelton
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shelton
Perez
Striking0.7 / 6.1Volume8.7 / 3.1Grappling2.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure1.0 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Shelton
Strike Zones
Perez
Shelton
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY4LEGS10 absorbed
Perez
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY4LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shelton targets the head (85% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (40% of attacks) — Shelton absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shelton
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0

Shelton · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan Espinosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joseph Morales
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Alex Perez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Jenel Lausa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Jarred Brooks
Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07

Perez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sumudaerji
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu Almabayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro Taira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

News & Media

Eric Shelton · Alex Perez
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