UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Flyweight
VS
17%
Shelton
83%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perez
Perez is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Perez has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shelton
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
65"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shelton
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.1
60.7
28.3
Performance Avg
52.7
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
100
Shelton
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
1
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance8
0Clinch1
2Ground1
Shelton
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shelton
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
18
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Shelton
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Shelton
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shelton
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
SheltonPerez
Strike Zones
Shelton
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedPerez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shelton targets the head (85% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (40% of attacks) — Shelton absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shelton
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Shelton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Shelton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joseph MoralesRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Jenel LausaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Jarred BrooksRating 5.5Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
Perez · Last 5
Upcoming
SumudaerjiUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04