UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2020
Welterweight
VS
96%
Pereira
4%
Imadaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pereira
Pereira is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Imadaev has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pereira
Imadaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+76"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Imadaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
1.8
50.5
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Pereira
Imadaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
3
17
Body
1
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
36Distance7
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Pereira
Imadaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Imadaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Pereira
Imadaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Pereira
Imadaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Imadaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PereiraImadaev
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedImadaev
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (44% of attacks) — Imadaev absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Imadaev targets the head (43% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Imadaev
0/0R00/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Imadaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
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L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Imadaev · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Michel PereiraRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · KO · R2
Danny RobertsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
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