UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2022
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Turcios
7%
Natividad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turcios
Turcios is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turcios has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Turcios has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Natividad has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Turcios
Natividad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
70"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Turcios
Natividad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
2.4
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Turcios
Natividad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
15
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance10
1Clinch0
15Ground5
Turcios
Natividad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Turcios
Natividad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Turcios
Natividad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Turcios
Natividad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turcios
Natividad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TurciosNatividad
Strike Zones
Turcios
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedNatividad
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turcios targets the head (100% of attacks) — Natividad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Natividad targets the head (100% of attacks) — Turcios absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turcios
RND
Natividad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Turcios · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Natividad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Turcios · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alberto MontesRating 4.9Submission
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Benardo SopajRating 6.5Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · Sub · R2
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kevin NatividadRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
Natividad · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10