UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
70%
Jacoby
30%
Stewart
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jacoby
Jacoby is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jacoby
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
26.9
53.8
Performance Avg
42.3
48
Quality of Victory
43
91
Momentum Score
68
Jacoby
Stewart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
11
3
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
30Distance13
6Clinch5
1Ground0
Jacoby
Stewart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/31 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Jacoby
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
68
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Jacoby
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
JacobyStewart
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedStewart
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (89% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (61% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Jacoby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Jacoby · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
