UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Middleweight
VS
59%
Bisping
41%
Rivera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:54
MB
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30 – 9
6'1"75" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
JR
Jorge Rivera
"El Conquistador"
20 – 9
Striker54 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bisping

This is a genuine toss-up — Bisping at 59% vs Rivera at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Bisping throws more volume but Rivera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rivera has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bisping
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
47+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bisping
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
14.4
55.3
Performance Avg
48.0
46
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
30
Bisping
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
10 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
2
3
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance4
14Clinch0
3Ground0
Bisping
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bisping
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Bisping
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Bisping
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
63%
10
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bisping
Rivera
Striking6.4 / 7.3Volume5.4 / 4.1Grappling1.2 / 0.9Wrestling0.8 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Bisping
Strike Zones
Rivera
Bisping
Attacking
28HEAD3BODY4LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Rivera
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD3BODY4LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bisping
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bisping · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.4W2.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.8L2006-062009-072012-092016-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W1.5L4.0L4.5W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L5.5L5.2W2003-092006-012008-062011-022012-01
WinLossTrend

Bisping · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

Rivera · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

News & Media

Michael Bisping · Jorge Rivera
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