★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Glendale, USA
12 Jun 2021
Flyweight
VS
52%
Figueiredo
48%
Moreno
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
This is a genuine toss-up — Figueiredo at 52% vs Moreno at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Moreno throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Figueiredo's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moreno has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Figueiredo
Moreno
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Figueiredo
Moreno
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.4
52.8
57.9
Performance Avg
52.5
50
Quality of Victory
47
55
Momentum Score
54
Figueiredo
Moreno
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Figueiredo
Moreno
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Figueiredo
Moreno
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/31 fights
Chin rating based on
20/33 fights
Figueiredo
Moreno
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
54
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Figueiredo
Moreno
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
46%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Figueiredo
Moreno
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
FigueiredoMoreno
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMoreno
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Figueiredo targets the body (75% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Moreno targets the head (92% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Figueiredo
RND
Moreno
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Moreno · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
Moreno · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

