METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
47%
Grasso
53%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Natalia SilvawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexa Grasso · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Grasso at 47% vs Silva at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Grasso has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrassoSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grasso
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
33
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grasso
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
65.9
52.8
Performance Avg
59.7
45
Quality of Victory
33
84
Momentum Score
100
Grasso
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
4.8
6.6
Style: Volume
8.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
19
2
Body
6
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance27
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Grasso
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grasso
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/25 fights
Grasso
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
Current form
8-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Grasso
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grasso
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
GrassoSilva
Strike Zones
Grasso
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedSilva
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grasso targets the head (53% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (68% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grasso
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Grasso · Last 5
Upcoming
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