UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
47%
Grasso
53%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alexa
Alexa Grasso
17 – 5
5'5"66" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Natalia
Natalia Silva
20 – 5
Well-Rounded8-fight win streak29 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Grasso at 47% vs Silva at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Grasso has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Grasso
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
32
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grasso
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
65.7
52.8
Performance Avg
59.5
45
Quality of Victory
33
84
Momentum Score
100
Grasso
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
19
2
Body
6
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance27
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Grasso
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grasso
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Grasso
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
Current form
8-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Grasso
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grasso
Silva
Striking2.4 / 4.5Volume6.6 / 8.0Grappling3.4 / 1.8Wrestling2.4 / 1.3Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
Grasso
Strike Zones
Silva
Grasso
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY3LEGS28 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY3LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grasso targets the head (53% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (68% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grasso
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Grasso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L4.5W3.4L4.5W5.8L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.2W6.7W6.9L7.0L6.0W2016-112019-062022-032025-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.4W5.5W5.0W4.9W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.9W2022-062023-052024-022025-052026-01
WinLossTrend

Grasso · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Maycee BarberRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Valentina Shevchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Sub · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Alexa Grasso · Natalia Silva
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