UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
New Orleans, USA
17 Sept 2011
Featherweight
VS
90%
Peralta
10%
Lullo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Peralta
Peralta is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Peralta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: Peralta throws more volume but Lullo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Peralta
Lullo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
40+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Peralta
Lullo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
2.1
46.9
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
77
Momentum Score
0
Peralta
Lullo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
59%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
5
Body
2
3
Leg
12
RangeRange
13Distance8
4Clinch8
0Ground0
Peralta
Lullo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Peralta
Lullo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Peralta
Lullo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Peralta
Lullo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Peralta
Lullo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PeraltaLullo
Strike Zones
Peralta
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedLullo
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Peralta targets the head (53% of attacks) — Lullo absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Lullo targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Peralta absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Peralta
RND
Lullo
0/0R00/0
Peralta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lullo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Peralta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago TavaresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Dec · R3
Rony JasonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R3
Estevan PayanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Akira CorassaniRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
Lullo · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11