UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Boston, USA
17 Aug 2013
Featherweight
VS
46%
Gamburyan
54%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
5'5"67" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
CM
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
21 – 11
Submission Hunter3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Gamburyan at 46% vs Miller at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Gamburyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gamburyan's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gamburyan
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+6'1"
67"
Reach
+73"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gamburyan
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
17.6
40.4
Performance Avg
49.0
39
Quality of Victory
47
63
Momentum Score
49
Gamburyan
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
31%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
3
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Gamburyan
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gamburyan
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Gamburyan
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Gamburyan
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gamburyan
Miller
Striking0.9 / 2.0Volume4.9 / 2.6Grappling5.2 / 6.1Wrestling3.6 / 4.3Submission5.0 / 7.0Pressure4.8 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Gamburyan
Strike Zones
Miller
Gamburyan
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Miller
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (45% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (86% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gamburyan
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0

Gamburyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062009-012013-082016-042016-11
WinLossTrend

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.2L5.5W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W6.6L5.7L5.5L2007-062009-092012-032014-012016-12
WinLossTrend

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

Miller · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Upcoming
Jim Alers
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Sub · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01

News & Media

Manvel Gamburyan · Cole Miller
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